Smug Fantasy Football

Week 5 Rankings: QB, RB, WR

By Dustin Pritchard, 10.2.13

Ranked below are the Top 25 QBs, Top 50 RBs, Top 50 WRs for Week 5 of the 2013 NFL season.

Week 5 rankings for TEs, Kickers, and Defenses are available here.

Match ups you should be salivating over: (for QBs/ WRs/TEs) San Diego, Philadelphia, Green Bay, Jacksonville, New York (G), Dallas, Arizona (for RBs)  Jacksonville, Detroit, St. Louis, Philadelphia, Denver, Miami

Match ups that may cause headaches, and possibly nausea: (for QBs/WRs/TEs)  Seattle, Kansas City, Tennessee (for RBs) New York (J), Chicago, Houston, Cincinnati, Dallas, Seattle, Baltimore

ON BYE: Vikings, Steelers, Buccaneers, Redskins

Quarterbacks

Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford

1. Peyton Manning @ DAL – The 75% completion percentage is unsustainable, but the incredible ride will continue against the beneficient Cowboys D.

2. Aaron Rodgers v. DET – The Lions defense appears tough against fantasy QBs, but look closer and you’ll see that they’ve given up 300+ yards through the air in each of their last two, to RGIII and Cutler. Rodgers is going to tear them apart. 

3. Drew Brees @ CHI – Brees will follow-up his magnificent MNF performance with another great outing. This game will be a shootout. Chalk him up for his usual 300+ yard 2+ TD game.

4. Matt Stafford @ GB – Look at the floor here as 15 FP. The ceiling? High 30s. You will be happy to be a Stafford owner after this one.

5. Mike Vick v. NYG – Averaging 250+ passing and 60+ rushing is great, playing the generous Giants defense makes it better. Vick is playing great fantasy football right now; ride him while you can.

6. Tony Romo v. DEN – Likely to be trailing a stupidly efficient and effective Denver offense, Romo will be passing more than usual in the 2nd half.  Love the garbage time potential. Vegas Over/Under is 57.

7. Cam Newton @ ARI – Rested, Cam gets a defense giving up 23 FP per week to fantasy QBs. Don’t expect that many, but 18+ seems like a lock.

8. Philip Rivers @ OAK – Rivers has been one of the league’s elite QBs through the first four (#3 in FP), and don’t expect that to change just yet as he faces a very bad team in Oakland.

9.  Matt Ryan v. NYJ – The Jets are easily one of the NFL’s elite defenses right now, but don’t expect the Falcons to try to win this game on the ground. 

10. Russell Wilson @ IND – Indy’s defense has played well as of late, but this unit also gave up 100+ rush yards to a QB in Week 1 and 300+ yards to Ryan Tannehill in Week 2, so let’s not get too ahead of ourselves.  Wilson is a skilled QB, he will exploit their weaknesses.

11. Terrelle Pryor v. SD – After missing last week as a mostly precautionary measure, Pryor gets a San Diego defense giving up the most points to fantasy QBs.  He’ll be a popular daily league option.

12. Sam Bradford v. JAC – The Jaguars are a giving group to QBs (averaging 20+ against).  Look for Bradford to get back on track.

13. Tom Brady @ CIN – Brady seems to be missing Gronk and Amendola very much.  The 58% completion percentage tells the tale. At no point in his career has he finished a season below a 60% completion percentage.  Amendola’s return would be a big upgrade.

14. Colin Kaepernick v. HOU – Kaep seemed to reemerge against the Rams last week, but he has yet to get back to the elite level he has shown us.  Not really expecting it against J.J. Watt and the Texans.

15. Andrew Luck v. SEA – It’s going to be a rough afternoon whenever the Seahawks come to town.  Luck is likely to struggle.

16. Jay Cutler v. NO

17. Eli Manning v. PHI – Even at home against an atrocious Eagles defense, his offensive line woes still give me night terrors. Be very bearish.

18. Carson Palmer v. CAR

19.  Alex Smith @ TEN 

20. Brian Hoyer v. BUF

21. Matt Schaub @ SF

22. Ryan Tannehill v. BAL

23. Joe Flacco @ MIA

24. Andy Dalton @ NE

25. Geno Smith @ ATL

Jamaal Charles

Jamaal Charles

Runningbacks

1. LeSean McCoy @ NYG – The G-Men are actually solid against the run in real life, yet fantasy RBs average 19 FPPG against them.

2. Jamaal Charles @ TEN – Don’t be worried about fantasy’s #2 RB against an average Tennessee run defense.

3. Reggie Bush @ GB – The former Heisman winner has been a monster so far (#6 RB despite missing a game).  The Packers are an above average match up, and the Lions will need Bush’s play making to keep pace.

4. Ray Rice @ MIA – Ray Rice feels fine Ray Rice’s health moving forward. He struggled last week (1 FP), and has not eclipsed 40 yards rushing through three games played. Miami is friendly to RBs. The addition of Eugene Monroe should help immediately. Harbaugh is committed to Rice as the feature back. This is shaping up to be a big rebound week.

5. Arian Foster @ SF – Looked great last week (171 total yards, 1 TD), and now faces, believe it or not, the most charitable defense to fantasy RBs through four games. 

6. Matt Forte v. NO – Against a Saints defense giving up 140 total yards per contest, Forte doesn’t need to score a TD to be an effective start for you.

7. DeMarco Murray v. DEN – Until he inevitably gets injured, he’s a top 10 weekly RB fantasy play. Denver allows 6th most fantasy points (FP) to RB.

8. Marshawn Lynch @ IND – He won’t break the century mark in rushing in this one, but expect a TD or two for Beastmode. The Colts defense has been quite good so far though, so don’t set your expectations too high.

9.  Frank Gore v HOU – Not as daunting an opponent as it may seem, Houston is in the middle of the NFL in fantasy points given up to RBs. Gore is averaging 14+ FP over his last two.

10. Darren Sproles @ CHI – The Bears allowed 23 FP to Reggie Bush last week.  With a similar skill set, red-hot Sproles will gash this defense.

11. Eddie Lacy v. DET – Recovered from his Week 2 concussion, Lacy and his Jerome Bettis like game slide back into feature duties for the Pack against a benevolent Lions defense.

12. DeAngelo Williams @ ARI – He’s the workhorse until Jonathan Stewart gets back. 

13. Chris Johnson v. KC – Appears to be struggling on the surface, but has only had one bad game (Week 4 – three points against the very difficult NYJ run D) Averaged 8 FP against PIT, HOU, and SD weeks 1-3.

14. Fred Jackson @ CLE – CJ Spiller missed practice again on Tuesday, while Jackson practiced. Limited on Wednesday.  Listed as questionable.  If Spiller misses the game, Fred becomes something of a work horse. He’s the #10 fantasy RB right now. If Spiller is active, move Jackson down into the 20s.

15. Maurice Jones-Drew @ STL – MOJO has been straight up terrible so far, but the Rams defense has made RBs look very good.  RB is VERY thin in Week 5, so if you want to roll the dice on Jones-Drew don’t be scurred.

16. Trent Richardson v. SEA – T Rich wasted 20 carries against the Jags D last week for a pathetic 60 rushing yards.  That was his season high BTW, in carries and rushing yards.  Seattle will offer no relief. 

17. David Wilson v. PHI – Giants’ release of Da’Rel Scott signals strong trust in Wilson. If he can’t get it going against the Eagles, then who?

18. Rashad Jennings v. SD – McFadden will miss the game. Marcel Reece has been limited at practice, and will likely draw the Questionable tag with a knee injury.  Jennings’ versatile skill set and current health make him a likely workhorse on Sunday night.

19. Giovani Bernard v. NE – The loss of WIlfork changes the game for the Bengals.  Bernard should find the soft spots vacated by Wilfork, making him a great flex option.

20. Knowshon Moreno @ DAL – The cream has risen in Denver, and Moreno’s solid ‘jack of all trades master of none’ style skill set seems to have prevailed.  He’s still in a timeshare, but is easily the lead pony in this stable.

21. Bilal Powell @ ATL – Ivory and Goodson back at practice, but probably at least a week away from a meaningful contribution. Hopefully you didn’t spend too much of your FAAB budget on him last week.  If you did, hope for the best in what could be his last week of full-time work for a while.

22. Ryan Mathews @ OAK – Mathews has been OK, and the match up is OK.  The potential that the Chargers get up and kill clock with him in the 4th quarter bolsters his outlook.

23. Lamar Miller v. BAL – Miami needs to get him the ball more, as anyone who uses their eyes can see.  Baltimore is very tough on the ground, and Daniel Thomas is still in the picture. He’s a flex at best.

24. Willis McGahee v. BUF – He might get 20 touches, but we’ve yet to see that McGahee hasn’t totally devolved into a complete replacement level talent.  Still, the Bills have been gouged on the ground before.

25. Joique Bell @ GB – Should be a major shootout, or at the very least an opportunity for Joique to contribute via the ground and the air.

26. C.J. Spiller @ CLE – Missed practice Monday and Tuesday and was limited Wednesday. Will be a dreaded Game Time Decision.  Move Jackson down, and Spiller up if he’s active. 

27. Rashard Mendenhall v. CAR – Very disappointing so far, at this point you are better off with a WR in your flex.

28. Benjarvus Green-Ellis v. NE – Role decreasing as the Bengals realize he is the inferior talent.  Still an important part of this offense for the time being.

29. Stevan Ridley @ CIN – 3 way timeshare killing value. Cincy is tough on D, Ridley’s woes may continue.

30. Danny Woodhead @ OAK

31. Jacquizz Rodgers v. NYJ – The match up is the worst, but he looked solid last week (88 total yards).  Still a dicey flex play.

32. Ben Tate @ SF

33. Pierre Thomas @ CHI 

34.  Jonathan Franklin v. DET – Will he see consistent carries after an eye-opening week 3 (126 total yards, 1 TD). Could enter into a timeshare.

35. Jason Snelling v. NYJ

36. Isaiah Pead v. JAC – Richardson is not starting.  We’re not sure who will fill the power vacuum, but our money is on Pead.  Great match up. Rookies Benny Cunningham and Zac Stacy both could be in the mix.  There is also of course the potential that he might not be inactive again. Looks kind of like a clusterfuck right now.

37. Bryce Brown @ NYG

38. Daryl Richardson v. JAC – Richardson himself tweeted that he wasn’t starting this week. Role moving forward is unclear.

39. Zac Stacy v. JAC – Outside shot to lead this group. 

40. Bernard Pierce @ MIA – Pierce moves back to second fiddle with Rice back, but should still get some run. 

41. Andre Ellington v. CAR

42. Kendall Hunter v. HOU

43. Montee Ball @ DAL – Has a role in the league’s best offense. Still not sure what it is.

44. Daniel Thomas v. BAL

45. Benny Cunningham v. JAC – Richardson’s benching leaves an opportunity for Cunningham.  Can he capitalize?

46. Ronnie Hillman @ DAL – See Montee Ball.

47. Chris Ivory @ ATL

48. Brandon Jacobs v. PHI

49. Donald Brown v. SEA

50, Ahmad Bradshaw v. SEA – Doubtful for the game. He’s week to week. Here we go again!

Wide Receivers

Demaryius Thomas

Demaryius Thomas

1. Calvin Johnson @ GB – He’s not leading the league in FP or anything, but this is Megatron people! Wake up to the most consistently excellent receiver in the NFL.  The Packers secondary is very banged up and Johnson is a real threat for 200 yards if the Packers get out to a big lead, will go over 100 if it’s close.

2. Demaryius Thomas @ DAL – Fantasy’s #2 WR will not be subdued by a Cowboys defense torched by Philip Rivers for 400+ yards last week.  The Broncos will reap the benefits this week. 

3. Dez Bryant v. DEN – Denver’s defense is  average against WRs. Dez has huge upside in any game he suits up for.

4. Julio Jones v. NYJ – Arguably NFL’s best WR through first quarter of the year. #4 FP at WR.

5. AJ Green v. NE – The Vincent Wilfork injury will ripple through all aspects of the defense, not just the interior line. AJ should have nice afternoon.

6. Victor Cruz v. PHI – Not a huge fan of this offense right now, but Cruz looks unstoppable.  He will burn these birds and eat this defense alive.

7. DeSean Jackson @ NYG – The Giants straight up don’t have an answer for DeSean right now.  29 FP combined between Dwayne Bowe and Brandon LaFell against the Giants over last two weeks.

8. Wes Welker @ DAL – Wes’s detractors have once again disappeared (we’ve changed our tune).  He’s in must start territory. This TD pace is unsustainable though.

9. Brandon Marshall v. NO – Marshall is a top flight option usually, but New Orleans has been brutal to WRs so far.

10. Randall Cobb v. DET – The Lions got beat up by Marshall and Jeffrey last week. Welcome the Packers WRs and a much tougher problem.

11. Jordy Nelson v. DET – 289 yards and 3 TD through three games.  The league’s most underrated WR is healthy and ready for another plus outing.

13. Andre Johnson @ SF – The Niners haven’t been the defensive juggernaut we are used to, instead they have been taken apart on the ground and through the air.  Andre could be too much for them to handle.

14. Josh Gordon v. BUF – Despite a few solid overall defensive outings, the Bills still rank 4th in FP allowed to WR right now (31.7). The Browns look committed to the pass. Gordon is a stud.

15. Marques Colston @ CHI – Good not great so far.  Chicago allows 5th most FPPG to WR.

16. Larry Fitzgerald v. CAR – A bit inconsistent, but it is what it is. Fitzy is a high-end WR2 option.

17. Eric Decker @ DAL – As you can tell, we like the Broncos passing game in this one. Missed practice Wednesday (ankle).  Probably not a big deal.

18. Danny Amendola @ CIN – Danny could be back this week. He will hog targets if active.

19. Reggie Wayne v. SEA  – The Seahawks are the toughest match up for fantasy WRs right now.

20. Torrey Smith @ MIA – #10 fantasy WR.

21. Anquan Boldin v. HOU – The #1 receiving target on the 49ers will continue to make the most of his skill set.

22. Steve Smith @ ARI – No news is usually good news, so consider Smith starting in Week 5 until you hear otherwise.

23. James Jones v. DET 

24. Hakeem Nicks v. PHI – So inconsistent right now, he gets a nice match up, but at this point you never know if he’ll do anything with it.

25. Dwayne Bowe @ TEN – Tennessee is tough to pass on.  This could be a low scoring affair.

26. Cecil Shorts @ STL – Return of Blackmon and Blaine Gabbert make Shorts, despite immense talent, a shaky flex play.

27. Denarius Moore v. SD – Could boom against embarrassing Bolts secondary.

28. Mike Wallace v. BAL – Ultimate boom or bust guy could have a few deep balls thrown his way if the Ravens get caught sleeping.

29. Brian Hartline v. BAL – #23 fantasy WR goes against the 11th easiest match up for WRs.

30. Stevie Johnson @ CLE – Will start.  Thursday night games have been rough for most.

31.  Chris Givens v. JAC – One of the NFL’s premier deep ball specialists returns from his bye.  Look for him to catch the Jags defenders sleeping for a few long bombs.

32. Jeremy Kerley @ ATL – Holmes and Hill both likely out, Kerley could see 10 targets in this game.  It’s not pleasant, but garbage time can be a beautiful thing for fantasy owners.

33. Miles Austin v. DEN – If he plays, move him into the top 30 WRs.

34. Michael Floyd v. CAR – It’s just not right, Floyd is so due for a TD. 

35. DeAndre Hopkins @ SF

36. Tavon Austin v. JAC

37. Golden Tate @ IND

38. Kenbrell Thompkins @ CIN – A stud over his last two (9 catches, 168 yards, 3 TD), but Amendola could be back.  Would not start Thompkins if Amendola is active.

39. Robert Woods @ CLE

40. Justin Blackmon @ STL

41. Julian Edelman @ CIN

42. Alshon Jeffery v. NO – Don’t expect another performance like last week (5 catches, 107 yards, 1 TD) against this defense. Expect more of a cool down period before his next big game.

43. Vincent Brown @ OAK

44. Nate Washington v. KC

45. TY Hilton v. SEA

46. Ryan Broyles @ GB

47. Terrance Williams v. DEN – Miles Austin could miss his second in a row. WIlliams might yet again prove useful. Moves into top 35 WR if Austin out.

48. Eddie Royal @ OAK

49. Sidney Rice @ IND

50. Rod Streater v. SD

Almost: Davone Bess v. BUF , Marlon Brown @ MIA, Andre Roberts v. CAR, Rueben Randle v. PHI, Brandon LaFell @ ARI, Kendall Wright v. KC, Lance Moore @ CHI, Riley Cooper @ NYG, Keenan Allen @ OAK, Austin Pettis v. JAC

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